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Below you’ll find figures showing key advanced metrics I’m tracking for individual players throughout the season.

Quarterback Performance

Quarterback Summary

The below shows a summary of QB performances so far this season.

Quarterback Passing Summary
Minimum 100 pass yards, and ordered by passing TDs thrown. Thru Week 18.
Player Team Comps Att Pass Yds Pass TDs INTs Comp % Pass EPA
AFC - East
Tua Tagovailoa MIA 388 560 4624 29 14 69.3% 123.6
Josh Allen BUF 378 564 4212 28 18 67.0% 91.0
Tim Boyle NYJ 41 63 327 1 3 65.1% −23.3
Trevor Siemian NYJ 73 120 588 2 4 60.8% −36.0
Bailey Zappe NE 96 143 1026 6 5 67.1% −36.2
Mac Jones NE 212 324 2031 10 10 65.4% −43.8
Zach Wilson NYJ 210 342 2164 7 6 61.4% −79.8
AFC - North
Lamar Jackson BAL 307 457 3678 24 7 67.2% 58.0
Jake Browning CIN 163 228 1868 11 7 71.5% 28.9
Joe Burrow CIN 230 334 2227 15 6 68.9% 24.7
Mason Rudolph PIT 53 71 716 3 0 74.6% 20.0
Joe Flacco CLE 123 204 1616 13 8 60.3% −1.6
Tyler Huntley BAL 15 28 146 1 0 53.6% −4.7
Jeff Driskel CLE 13 26 166 2 2 50.0% −11.0
Deshaun Watson CLE 104 166 1110 7 3 62.7% −13.1
Mitchell Trubisky PIT 64 102 614 4 5 62.7% −18.5
P.J. Walker CLE 48 97 618 1 5 49.5% −23.3
Kenny Pickett PIT 184 298 1927 6 4 61.7% −33.4
Dorian Thompson-Robinson CLE 57 108 420 1 4 52.8% −37.0
AFC - South
C.J. Stroud HOU 309 476 4017 23 5 64.9% 81.3
C.J. Beathard JAX 17 24 178 0 0 70.8% 5.2
Davis Mills HOU 15 32 149 2 0 46.9% 3.6
Trevor Lawrence JAX 370 564 4016 21 14 65.6% 0.8
Anthony Richardson IND 35 62 423 3 1 56.5% 0.7
Gardner Minshew IND 305 488 3305 15 9 62.5% −1.0
Case Keenum HOU 23 36 229 1 1 63.9% −2.5
Will Levis TEN 147 249 1792 8 4 59.0% −4.2
Ryan Tannehill TEN 141 214 1540 4 6 65.9% −12.4
AFC - West
Patrick Mahomes KC 401 597 4183 27 14 67.2% 51.0
Justin Herbert LAC 288 439 3038 20 6 65.6% 46.4
Jarrett Stidham DEN 40 66 496 2 1 60.6% 5.1
Russell Wilson DEN 284 425 2975 25 6 66.8% 2.0
Aidan O'Connell LV 194 309 2081 11 6 62.8% −7.9
Brian Hoyer LV 23 42 231 0 2 54.8% −8.8
Blaine Gabbert KC 15 30 154 0 1 50.0% −9.4
Jimmy Garoppolo LV 110 168 1205 7 9 65.5% −17.0
Easton Stick LAC 111 174 1129 3 1 63.8% −34.0
NFC - East
Dak Prescott DAL 410 590 4516 36 9 69.5% 118.7
Jalen Hurts PHI 345 522 3803 23 14 66.1% 74.2
Tyrod Taylor NYG 99 154 1228 5 3 64.3% 10.8
Jacoby Brissett WAS 8 10 124 2 0 80.0% 9.4
Marcus Mariota PHI 13 20 148 1 1 65.0% −4.8
Tommy DeVito NYG 87 126 947 6 2 69.0% −22.4
Daniel Jones NYG 104 151 884 2 6 68.9% −56.3
Sam Howell WAS 382 590 3890 21 19 64.7% −80.2
NFC - North
Jordan Love GB 372 579 4159 32 11 64.2% 85.9
Jared Goff DET 407 605 4575 30 12 67.3% 81.7
Kirk Cousins MIN 216 311 2331 18 5 69.5% 37.1
Nick Mullens MIN 91 135 1223 7 8 67.4% 10.6
Tyson Bagent CHI 84 129 776 3 5 65.1% −8.8
Justin Fields CHI 210 338 2405 15 7 62.1% −14.4
Joshua Dobbs MIN 85 128 832 5 5 66.4% −19.4
NFC - South
Baker Mayfield TB 364 566 4044 28 10 64.3% 50.7
Derek Carr NO 375 548 3878 25 8 68.4% 25.9
Taylor Heinicke ATL 66 121 835 4 4 54.5% 5.9
Andy Dalton CAR 34 58 361 2 0 58.6% 4.5
Jameis Winston NO 23 41 223 2 2 56.1% −7.1
Desmond Ridder ATL 234 366 2709 12 11 63.9% −22.4
Bryce Young CAR 304 509 2783 11 10 59.7% −154.5
NFC - West
Brock Purdy SF 308 444 4280 31 11 69.4% 143.8
Matthew Stafford LA 326 521 3965 24 11 62.6% 55.0
Geno Smith SEA 323 499 3624 20 9 64.7% 32.4
Carson Wentz LA 17 24 163 2 1 70.8% 7.1
Sam Darnold SF 16 26 189 1 0 61.5% 5.5
Drew Lock SEA 44 64 477 3 2 68.8% 3.0
Kyler Murray ARI 176 268 1799 10 5 65.7% −12.9
Brett Rypien LA 13 28 130 0 1 46.4% −14.6
Joshua Dobbs ARI 167 266 1569 8 5 62.8% −47.6
Table: @steodosescu | Data: nflfastR

EPA per Dropback by Team

The below isolates Expected Points Added for pass plays only to get a sense of how each team’s quarterback is performing on a per-dropback basis.

EPA vs CPOE per dropback by team

The below is another way to look at quarterback efficiency using EPA and Completion Percentage Over Expectation (CPOE) as measures. CPOE is simply the difference between a quarterback’s expected completion percentage and actual completion percentage. Expected completion percentage is a stat measuring the likelihood of a given pass being completed which factors in features like depth of target (air yards). It’s a better measure of accuracy than traditional completion percentage because it takes into account the location of where passes are being thrown.

Here we focus on quarterback play only as the QB position is the most valuable position on the field. As the quarterback goes, the team goes.

Difference in Expected and Actual Yards

The below shows what quarterbacks have completed a either higher percentage or lower percentage of their passes than expected, according to the nflfastR model.

Receivers Performance

Receivers average Depth of Target (aDOT) vs. Catch Rate

The below shows receiver catch rate against their average depth of target (air yards).

Rushing Performance

The below shows a rusher’s success rate vs his total EPA gained on runs this season.

Copyright © 2021 Stephan Teodosescu