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Below you’ll find figures showing key advanced metrics I’m tracking for individual players throughout the season.

Quarterback Performance

Quarterback Summary

The below shows a summary of QB performances so far this season.

Quarterback Passing Summary
Minimum 100 pass yards, and ordered by passing TDs thrown. Thru Week 7.
Player Team Comps Att Pass Yds Pass TDs INTs Comp % Pass EPA
AFC - East
Josh Allen BUF 114 171 1504 9 4 66.7% 53.0
Drake Maye NE 141 214 1784 13 8 65.9% 43.6
Geno Smith NYJ 122 177 1336 7 1 68.9% 14.6
Malik Willis MIA 64 113 764 2 4 56.6% −16.5
AFC - North
Lamar Jackson BAL 68 96 967 6 1 70.8% 37.3
Joe Burrow CIN 135 189 1361 11 3 71.4% 32.8
Tyler Huntley BAL 43 63 366 3 0 68.3% 8.0
Deshaun Watson CLE 111 174 1174 7 2 63.8% −2.8
Aaron Rodgers PIT 143 233 1487 12 5 61.4% −27.6
AFC - South
Trevor Lawrence JAX 120 184 1480 14 4 65.2% 53.3
C.J. Stroud HOU 143 219 1714 9 1 65.3% 31.6
Daniel Jones IND 130 218 1290 4 6 59.6% −28.3
Cam Ward TEN 109 177 998 4 4 61.6% −34.0
AFC - West
Kirk Cousins LV 135 213 1582 14 5 63.4% 45.8
Patrick Mahomes KC 105 158 1309 9 3 66.5% 28.6
Bo Nix DEN 114 189 1049 6 3 60.3% −14.9
Justin Herbert LAC 107 180 1141 5 8 59.4% −44.9
NFC - East
Dak Prescott DAL 163 246 1639 10 5 66.3% 37.0
Jaxson Dart NYG 23 29 230 3 0 79.3% 21.9
Marcus Mariota WAS 30 47 294 4 0 63.8% 10.6
J.J. McCarthy NYG 11 21 243 1 1 52.4% 5.0
Jayden Daniels WAS 64 99 663 4 0 64.6% 4.1
Jalen Hurts PHI 77 127 840 6 3 60.6% −1.5
Tanner McKee PHI 26 45 215 1 0 57.8% −8.6
Athan Kaliakmanis WAS 15 33 186 1 1 45.5% −10.2
Jameis Winston NYG 90 158 957 7 5 57.0% −20.2
NFC - North
Jared Goff DET 128 191 1485 12 0 67.0% 65.3
Caleb Williams CHI 88 124 1020 5 1 71.0% 41.7
Jordan Love GB 135 226 1684 11 4 59.7% 27.6
Tyson Bagent CHI 25 34 268 0 1 73.5% 7.9
Carson Wentz MIN 23 39 276 3 0 59.0% 5.5
Case Keenum CHI 35 53 355 2 1 66.0% 0.8
Kyler Murray MIN 66 96 644 2 1 68.8% −3.9
NFC - South
Bryce Young CAR 121 201 1549 11 2 60.2% 45.2
Michael Penix Jr. ATL 71 110 944 6 1 64.5% 18.0
Tyler Shough NO 137 210 1347 12 3 65.2% 6.5
Cooper Rush ATL 12 22 143 1 2 54.5% −15.8
Jalon Daniels TB 60 95 501 3 4 63.2% −20.2
Baker Mayfield TB 61 96 615 2 2 63.5% −29.8
NFC - West
Brock Purdy SF 119 171 1460 14 2 69.6% 61.2
Matthew Stafford LA 164 249 1794 11 6 65.9% 29.3
Drew Lock SEA 35 48 422 4 0 72.9% 22.5
Jacoby Brissett ARI 139 206 1233 8 5 67.5% 5.9
Sam Darnold SEA 89 147 1020 7 7 60.5% −19.9
Table: @steodosescu | Data: nflfastR

EPA per Dropback by Team

The below isolates Expected Points Added for pass plays only to get a sense of how each team’s quarterback is performing on a per-dropback basis.

EPA vs CPOE per dropback by team

The below is another way to look at quarterback efficiency using EPA and Completion Percentage Over Expectation (CPOE) as measures. CPOE is simply the difference between a quarterback’s expected completion percentage and actual completion percentage. Expected completion percentage is a stat measuring the likelihood of a given pass being completed which factors in features like depth of target (air yards). It’s a better measure of accuracy than traditional completion percentage because it takes into account the location of where passes are being thrown.

Here we focus on quarterback play only as the QB position is the most valuable position on the field. As the quarterback goes, the team goes.

Difference in Expected and Actual Yards

The below shows what quarterbacks have completed a either higher percentage or lower percentage of their passes than expected, according to the nflfastR model.

Receivers Performance

Receivers average Depth of Target (aDOT) vs. Catch Rate

The below shows receiver catch rate against their average depth of target (air yards).

Rushing Performance

The below shows a rusher’s success rate vs his total EPA gained on runs this season.

Copyright © 2021 Stephan Teodosescu